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Illustration of a suv like the 2026 Tesla Model Y

Electric SUV · Electric · AWD

2026 Tesla Model Y

Long Range AWD · $61,990 MSRP + $2,100 freight & PDI · prices and taxes shown for Ontario

Lease length
Terms past 60 months are rare in Canada and carry real resale risk — we mark them.
Kilometres allowed / year
Monthly payment

$1,136

$1,005 + 13% HST

Buyout at lease end

$30,375

49.0% of MSRP · 48 months

Projected market value

$30,375source

At 20,000 km/yr · $0 vs the 20,000 km baseline · confidence low

Equity when you hand it back

$0

Cash out, or apply it to your next lease (and skip the tax on it)

Where the money goes

Price after discount and incentives
$64,090
Less cash down and trade equity
$64,090
Interest rate used
7.7%
Total of payments
$54,515
Tax saved by applying your trade
$0
Over-kilometre bill at 20,000 km/yr
$0
True cost per month after equity
$1,136

How well it holds value

3.4 / 5

Soft value retention

Value kept after four years

56.7%source

at 20,000 km a year — that is $35,148 of the original $61,990 sticker price. The Canadian four-year average across all brands is about 67.5%.

Best-selling EV, but pricing volatility hurts residuals.

How we work out the projected market value

Projected market value is what we expect the car to be worth on the open market at the end of your 48-month lease — not the buyout price written into the contract. The gap between those two numbers is your equity.

The sum: $61,990 sticker price × 49.0% expected retention = $30,375 at the standard 20,000 km a year, then $0 for driving 20,000 km a year = $30,375. Your contract buyout is $30,375, leaving $0 in your favour.

Mileage rule: a used car loses roughly half of what the lease company charges per extra kilometre, so we apply $0 of value per kilometre above or below the 20,000 km baseline (Tesla charges $0 per excess km), capped at 12% of sticker either way.

Checked against real listings: each week we read what this same nameplate, roughly three model years old, is actually being advertised for on Canadian used-car listings. We take the middle price (trimming the cheapest and dearest tenth so one wreck or one loaded trim cannot swing it), cut 12% off it because a dealer never hands you the retail asking price on a trade, and turn that into the share of the original sticker the car kept. That real figure is blended with the award-anchored projection — up to 65% weight when there are plenty of listings, 35% when the sample is thin, and none at all when fewer than four cars are for sale.

Where the retention figure comes from: a term-by-term forecast for this model, built from how the nameplate resells in Canada and its brand record in the published retained-value awards — Canadian Black Book Best Retained Value and J.D. Power / ALG Canada. Confidence on this one is low. Where no model-specific forecast exists we fall back to the contract buyout percentage, which shows zero equity rather than a guess.

Resale prices move with the used-car market, condition and options. Treat this as a well-informed estimate, not a guarantee.

Handing the keys back

How easy Tesla makes it to walk away at the end of the lease. 5 means relaxed, 1 means every scuff gets billed.

3.0/ 5Strict
Damage forgiven at return1.0 / 5 · 35% of the score

Nothing written off

Scratches, curbed wheels and small dents are the most common surprise bill. Brands that forgive a dollar amount absorb most of it for you.

Charge per extra kilometre2.0 / 5 · 30% of the score

25¢ per km over your allowance

Driving 5,000 km over on a four-year lease costs about $1,250 at this rate.

Buying kilometres upfront5.0 / 5 · 15% of the score

0¢ upfront vs 25¢ after the fact

A real discount for buying kilometres in advance gives you a cheap way out if you know you drive a lot.

Fee just for handing it back5.0 / 5 · 20% of the score

No return fee

This is charged even on a spotless car, though most brands waive it if you lease from them again.

Adding those four up gives 2.7. We then adjust by +0.3 for how this brand actually behaves at return time — how picky the inspection is and how often bills get waived — which lands on 3.0.

Very strict wheel and screen damage billing; no buyout on most leases.

No traditional loyalty program.

Estimated for Ontario

13% HST
Sales tax on your payments (13% HST)
$6,272
Licence plate & registrationPlate transfer or new issue
$59
Tire stewardship levyCharged on the four tires
$20
Dealer documentation feeTypical Ontario dealer admin fee
$599
One-time costs at delivery
$756
Cash needed on delivery day
$756
All-in cost over the whole term
$55,271
True cost per month after equity
$1,151
Province details — how these numbers were worked out

Sales tax rate: 13.00% (13% HST)

Your payment before tax is $1,005 a month. Tax of 13.00% adds $131 a month, which is $6,272 across 48 months. In Canada lease tax is charged on each payment, not on the full price of the car, so a bigger down payment or trade-in also lowers the tax you pay.

One-time costs at delivery: $756

  • Licence plate & registration: $59Plate transfer or new issue
  • Tire stewardship levy: $20Charged on the four tires
  • Dealer documentation fee: $599Typical Ontario dealer admin fee (sales tax applies, so 13.00% is added)
Government registration and levies are shown at their posted amount; the dealer documentation fee is taxable, so tax is added to it.

Cash on delivery day: $756

Down payment with tax, plus the one-time costs and any luxury tax, minus any rebate.

All-in cost: $55,271

All 48 payments including tax, plus your down payment, one-time costs and luxury tax, minus any rebate. Subtracting what you get back at lease end ($0 of equity) and adding any over-kilometre bill ($0) gives the true cost of $1,151 a month.

Fees and rebates are current best estimates for Ontario and can change; confirm the exact amounts with your dealer before you sign.

No provincial purchase rebate is currently offered here.

LengthKm / yearBuyout %Factory rateTypical quoteMonthly (tax in)
24 months16,00064.0%6.0%7.7%$1,525
24 months20,00062.0%6.0%7.7%$1,579
24 months24,00060.0%6.0%7.7%$1,633
36 months16,00058.0%6.0%7.7%$1,245
36 months20,00056.0%6.0%7.7%$1,280
36 months24,00054.0%6.0%7.7%$1,314
48 months16,00051.0%6.0%7.7%$1,111
48 months20,00049.0%6.0%7.7%$1,136
48 months24,00047.0%6.0%7.7%$1,160
60 months16,00042.0%6.0%7.7%$1,043
60 months20,00040.0%6.0%7.7%$1,062
60 months24,00038.0%6.0%7.7%$1,081
72 months16,00035.5%6.3%8.1%$990
72 months20,00033.5%6.3%8.1%$1,005
72 months24,00031.5%6.3%8.1%$1,020
84 months16,00029.0%6.7%8.6%$952
84 months20,00027.0%6.7%8.6%$964
84 months24,00025.0%6.7%8.6%$976
96 months16,00022.5%7.0%9.0%$922
96 months20,00020.5%7.0%9.0%$932
96 months24,00018.5%7.0%9.0%$941

For your research, not a quote. Every figure here is an independent estimate built from published manufacturer programs, provincial tax rules and retained-value award data. We are not a dealer, lender or broker, we are not paid to steer you toward any vehicle or brand, and nothing on this site is financial, tax or legal advice. Confirm the final numbers on your own lease worksheet before you sign. Full terms and disclaimer