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Illustration of a sedan like the 2026 Tesla Model 3

Electric Sedan · Electric · RWD

2026 Tesla Model 3

Long Range RWD · $54,990 MSRP + $2,100 freight & PDI · prices and taxes shown for Ontario

Lease length
Terms past 60 months are rare in Canada and carry real resale risk — we mark them.
Kilometres allowed / year
Monthly payment

$1,025

$907 + 13% HST

Buyout at lease end

$26,395

48.0% of MSRP · 48 months

Projected market value

$25,845source

At 20,000 km/yr · $0 vs the 20,000 km baseline · confidence low

Equity when you hand it back

−$550

You would owe the difference if you bought it out

Where the money goes

Price after discount and incentives
$57,090
Less cash down and trade equity
$57,090
Interest rate used
7.7%
Total of payments
$49,194
Tax saved by applying your trade
$0
Over-kilometre bill at 20,000 km/yr
$0
True cost per month after equity
$1,036

How well it holds value

3.2 / 5

Soft value retention

Value kept after four years

55.6%source

at 20,000 km a year — that is $30,574 of the original $54,990 sticker price. The Canadian four-year average across all brands is about 67.5%.

Price cuts have repeatedly reset used values downward.

How we work out the projected market value

Projected market value is what we expect the car to be worth on the open market at the end of your 48-month lease — not the buyout price written into the contract. The gap between those two numbers is your equity.

The sum: $54,990 sticker price × 47.0% expected retention = $25,845 at the standard 20,000 km a year, then $0 for driving 20,000 km a year = $25,845. Your contract buyout is $26,395, leaving $550 against you.

Mileage rule: a used car loses roughly half of what the lease company charges per extra kilometre, so we apply $0 of value per kilometre above or below the 20,000 km baseline (Tesla charges $0 per excess km), capped at 12% of sticker either way.

Checked against real listings: each week we read what this same nameplate, roughly three model years old, is actually being advertised for on Canadian used-car listings. We take the middle price (trimming the cheapest and dearest tenth so one wreck or one loaded trim cannot swing it), cut 12% off it because a dealer never hands you the retail asking price on a trade, and turn that into the share of the original sticker the car kept. That real figure is blended with the award-anchored projection — up to 65% weight when there are plenty of listings, 35% when the sample is thin, and none at all when fewer than four cars are for sale.

Where the retention figure comes from: a term-by-term forecast for this model, built from how the nameplate resells in Canada and its brand record in the published retained-value awards — Canadian Black Book Best Retained Value and J.D. Power / ALG Canada. Confidence on this one is low. Where no model-specific forecast exists we fall back to the contract buyout percentage, which shows zero equity rather than a guess.

Resale prices move with the used-car market, condition and options. Treat this as a well-informed estimate, not a guarantee.

Handing the keys back

How easy Tesla makes it to walk away at the end of the lease. 5 means relaxed, 1 means every scuff gets billed.

3.0/ 5Strict
Damage forgiven at return1.0 / 5 · 35% of the score

Nothing written off

Scratches, curbed wheels and small dents are the most common surprise bill. Brands that forgive a dollar amount absorb most of it for you.

Charge per extra kilometre2.0 / 5 · 30% of the score

25¢ per km over your allowance

Driving 5,000 km over on a four-year lease costs about $1,250 at this rate.

Buying kilometres upfront5.0 / 5 · 15% of the score

0¢ upfront vs 25¢ after the fact

A real discount for buying kilometres in advance gives you a cheap way out if you know you drive a lot.

Fee just for handing it back5.0 / 5 · 20% of the score

No return fee

This is charged even on a spotless car, though most brands waive it if you lease from them again.

Adding those four up gives 2.7. We then adjust by +0.3 for how this brand actually behaves at return time — how picky the inspection is and how often bills get waived — which lands on 3.0.

Very strict wheel and screen damage billing; no buyout on most leases.

No traditional loyalty program.

Estimated for Ontario

13% HST
Sales tax on your payments (13% HST)
$5,660
Licence plate & registrationPlate transfer or new issue
$59
Tire stewardship levyCharged on the four tires
$20
Dealer documentation feeTypical Ontario dealer admin fee
$599
One-time costs at delivery
$756
Cash needed on delivery day
$756
All-in cost over the whole term
$49,950
True cost per month after equity
$1,052
Province details — how these numbers were worked out

Sales tax rate: 13.00% (13% HST)

Your payment before tax is $907 a month. Tax of 13.00% adds $118 a month, which is $5,660 across 48 months. In Canada lease tax is charged on each payment, not on the full price of the car, so a bigger down payment or trade-in also lowers the tax you pay.

One-time costs at delivery: $756

  • Licence plate & registration: $59Plate transfer or new issue
  • Tire stewardship levy: $20Charged on the four tires
  • Dealer documentation fee: $599Typical Ontario dealer admin fee (sales tax applies, so 13.00% is added)
Government registration and levies are shown at their posted amount; the dealer documentation fee is taxable, so tax is added to it.

Cash on delivery day: $756

Down payment with tax, plus the one-time costs and any luxury tax, minus any rebate.

All-in cost: $49,950

All 48 payments including tax, plus your down payment, one-time costs and luxury tax, minus any rebate. Subtracting what you get back at lease end (-$550 of equity) and adding any over-kilometre bill ($0) gives the true cost of $1,052 a month.

Fees and rebates are current best estimates for Ontario and can change; confirm the exact amounts with your dealer before you sign.

No provincial purchase rebate is currently offered here.

LengthKm / yearBuyout %Factory rateTypical quoteMonthly (tax in)
24 months16,00063.0%6.0%7.7%$1,389
24 months20,00061.0%6.0%7.7%$1,437
24 months24,00059.0%6.0%7.7%$1,485
36 months16,00057.0%6.0%7.7%$1,128
36 months20,00055.0%6.0%7.7%$1,159
36 months24,00053.0%6.0%7.7%$1,189
48 months16,00050.0%6.0%7.7%$1,003
48 months20,00048.0%6.0%7.7%$1,025
48 months24,00046.0%6.0%7.7%$1,047
60 months16,00041.0%6.0%7.7%$939
60 months20,00039.0%6.0%7.7%$956
60 months24,00037.0%6.0%7.7%$972
72 months16,00034.5%6.3%8.1%$890
72 months20,00032.5%6.3%8.1%$903
72 months24,00030.5%6.3%8.1%$916
84 months16,00028.0%6.7%8.6%$854
84 months20,00026.0%6.7%8.6%$864
84 months24,00024.0%6.7%8.6%$875
96 months16,00021.5%7.0%9.0%$826
96 months20,00019.5%7.0%9.0%$834
96 months24,00017.5%7.0%9.0%$843

For your research, not a quote. Every figure here is an independent estimate built from published manufacturer programs, provincial tax rules and retained-value award data. We are not a dealer, lender or broker, we are not paid to steer you toward any vehicle or brand, and nothing on this site is financial, tax or legal advice. Confirm the final numbers on your own lease worksheet before you sign. Full terms and disclaimer