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Illustration of a suv like the 2026 Subaru Forester

Compact SUV · Gas · AWD

2026 Subaru Forester

Touring AWD · $40,995 MSRP + $2,100 freight & PDI · prices and taxes shown for Ontario

Lease length
Terms past 60 months are rare in Canada and carry real resale risk — we mark them.
Kilometres allowed / year
Monthly payment

$644

$570 + 13% HST

Buyout at lease end

$22,547

55.0% of MSRP · 48 months

Projected market value

$26,237source

At 20,000 km/yr · $0 vs the 20,000 km baseline · confidence high

Equity when you hand it back

+$4,169

Cash out, or apply it to your next lease (and skip the tax on it)

Where the money goes

Price after discount and incentives
$43,095
Less cash down and trade equity
$43,095
Interest rate used
5.2%
Total of payments
$30,918
Tax saved by applying your trade
$0
Over-kilometre bill at 20,000 km/yr
$0
True cost per month after equity
$557

How well it holds value

4.5 / 5

Exceptional value retention

Value kept after four years

62.7%source

at 20,000 km a year — that is $25,724 of the original $40,995 sticker price. The Canadian four-year average across all brands is about 67.5%.

Loyal buyer base keeps used prices high.

How we work out the projected market value

Projected market value is what we expect the car to be worth on the open market at the end of your 48-month lease — not the buyout price written into the contract. The gap between those two numbers is your equity.

The sum: $40,995 sticker price × 64.0% expected retention = $26,237 at the standard 20,000 km a year, then $0 for driving 20,000 km a year = $26,237. Your contract buyout is $22,547, leaving $3,690 in your favour.

Mileage rule: a used car loses roughly half of what the lease company charges per extra kilometre, so we apply $0 of value per kilometre above or below the 20,000 km baseline (Subaru charges $0 per excess km), capped at 12% of sticker either way.

Checked against real listings: each week we read what this same nameplate, roughly three model years old, is actually being advertised for on Canadian used-car listings. We take the middle price (trimming the cheapest and dearest tenth so one wreck or one loaded trim cannot swing it), cut 12% off it because a dealer never hands you the retail asking price on a trade, and turn that into the share of the original sticker the car kept. That real figure is blended with the award-anchored projection — up to 65% weight when there are plenty of listings, 35% when the sample is thin, and none at all when fewer than four cars are for sale.

Where the retention figure comes from: a term-by-term forecast for this model, built from how the nameplate resells in Canada and its brand record in the published retained-value awards — Canadian Black Book Best Retained Value and J.D. Power / ALG Canada. Confidence on this one is high. Where no model-specific forecast exists we fall back to the contract buyout percentage, which shows zero equity rather than a guess.

Resale prices move with the used-car market, condition and options. Treat this as a well-informed estimate, not a guarantee.

Handing the keys back

How easy Subaru makes it to walk away at the end of the lease. 5 means relaxed, 1 means every scuff gets billed.

4.6/ 5Very lenient
Damage forgiven at return1.8 / 5 · 35% of the score

$1,000 of wear written off

Scratches, curbed wheels and small dents are the most common surprise bill. Brands that forgive a dollar amount absorb most of it for you.

Charge per extra kilometre4.6 / 5 · 30% of the score

12¢ per km over your allowance

Driving 5,000 km over on a four-year lease costs about $600 at this rate.

Buying kilometres upfront4.3 / 5 · 15% of the score

6¢ upfront vs 12¢ after the fact

A real discount for buying kilometres in advance gives you a cheap way out if you know you drive a lot.

Fee just for handing it back3.0 / 5 · 20% of the score

$350 return fee

This is charged even on a spotless car, though most brands waive it if you lease from them again.

Adding those four up gives 3.3. We then adjust by +1.3 for how this brand actually behaves at return time — how picky the inspection is and how often bills get waived — which lands on 4.6.

Smooth returns; strong resale keeps buyouts attractive.

Loyalty bonus on second lease.

Estimated for Ontario

13% HST
Sales tax on your payments (13% HST)
$3,557
Licence plate & registrationPlate transfer or new issue
$59
Tire stewardship levyCharged on the four tires
$20
Dealer documentation feeTypical Ontario dealer admin fee
$599
One-time costs at delivery
$756
Cash needed on delivery day
$756
All-in cost over the whole term
$31,674
True cost per month after equity
$573
Province details — how these numbers were worked out

Sales tax rate: 13.00% (13% HST)

Your payment before tax is $570 a month. Tax of 13.00% adds $74 a month, which is $3,557 across 48 months. In Canada lease tax is charged on each payment, not on the full price of the car, so a bigger down payment or trade-in also lowers the tax you pay.

One-time costs at delivery: $756

  • Licence plate & registration: $59Plate transfer or new issue
  • Tire stewardship levy: $20Charged on the four tires
  • Dealer documentation fee: $599Typical Ontario dealer admin fee (sales tax applies, so 13.00% is added)
Government registration and levies are shown at their posted amount; the dealer documentation fee is taxable, so tax is added to it.

Cash on delivery day: $756

Down payment with tax, plus the one-time costs and any luxury tax, minus any rebate.

All-in cost: $31,674

All 48 payments including tax, plus your down payment, one-time costs and luxury tax, minus any rebate. Subtracting what you get back at lease end ($4,169 of equity) and adding any over-kilometre bill ($0) gives the true cost of $573 a month.

Fees and rebates are current best estimates for Ontario and can change; confirm the exact amounts with your dealer before you sign.

No provincial purchase rebate is currently offered here.

LengthKm / yearBuyout %Factory rateTypical quoteMonthly (tax in)
24 months16,00070.0%0.5%1.5%$727
24 months20,00068.0%0.5%1.5%$765
24 months24,00066.0%0.5%1.5%$803
36 months16,00055.0%0.5%1.7%$537
36 months20,00058.0%3.5%5.2%$702
36 months24,00065.0%3.0%4.7%$637
48 months16,00057.0%0.5%1.9%$525
48 months20,00055.0%3.5%5.2%$644
48 months24,00053.0%3.0%4.7%$646
60 months16,00048.0%0.5%2.2%$506
60 months20,00046.0%3.5%5.2%$608
60 months24,00044.0%3.0%4.7%$607
72 months16,00041.5%0.8%2.5%$479
72 months20,00039.5%3.5%5.2%$567
72 months24,00037.5%3.0%4.7%$564
84 months16,00035.0%1.0%2.7%$460
84 months20,00033.0%3.5%5.2%$536
84 months24,00031.0%3.0%4.7%$532
96 months16,00028.5%1.3%2.9%$446
96 months20,00026.5%3.5%5.2%$511
96 months24,00024.5%3.0%4.7%$506

For your research, not a quote. Every figure here is an independent estimate built from published manufacturer programs, provincial tax rules and retained-value award data. We are not a dealer, lender or broker, we are not paid to steer you toward any vehicle or brand, and nothing on this site is financial, tax or legal advice. Confirm the final numbers on your own lease worksheet before you sign. Full terms and disclaimer