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Illustration of a sedan like the 2026 Lucid Air

Electric Sedan · Electric · RWD

2026 Lucid Air

Pure RWD · $99,900 MSRP + $2,500 freight & PDI · prices and taxes shown for Ontario

Lease length
Terms past 60 months are rare in Canada and carry real resale risk — we mark them.
Kilometres allowed / year
Monthly payment

$2,117

$1,874 + 13% HST

Buyout at lease end

$34,965

35.0% of MSRP · 48 months

Projected market value

$31,369source

At 20,000 km/yr · $0 vs the 20,000 km baseline · confidence low

Equity when you hand it back

−$3,596

You would owe the difference if you bought it out

Where the money goes

Price after discount and incentives
$102,400
Less cash down and trade equity
$102,400
Interest rate used
8.2%
Total of payments
$101,627
Tax saved by applying your trade
$0
Over-kilometre bill at 20,000 km/yr
$0
True cost per month after equity
$2,192

How well it holds value

2.3 / 5

Weak value retention

Value kept after four years

50.6%source

at 20,000 km a year — that is $50,599 of the original $99,900 sticker price. The Canadian four-year average across all brands is about 67.5%.

Luxury EV sedan depreciation is extreme.

How we work out the projected market value

Projected market value is what we expect the car to be worth on the open market at the end of your 48-month lease — not the buyout price written into the contract. The gap between those two numbers is your equity.

The sum: $99,900 sticker price × 31.4% expected retention = $31,369 at the standard 20,000 km a year, then $0 for driving 20,000 km a year = $31,369. Your contract buyout is $34,965, leaving $3,596 against you.

Mileage rule: a used car loses roughly half of what the lease company charges per extra kilometre, so we apply $0 of value per kilometre above or below the 20,000 km baseline (Lucid charges $0 per excess km), capped at 12% of sticker either way.

Checked against real listings: each week we read what this same nameplate, roughly three model years old, is actually being advertised for on Canadian used-car listings. We take the middle price (trimming the cheapest and dearest tenth so one wreck or one loaded trim cannot swing it), cut 12% off it because a dealer never hands you the retail asking price on a trade, and turn that into the share of the original sticker the car kept. That real figure is blended with the award-anchored projection — up to 65% weight when there are plenty of listings, 35% when the sample is thin, and none at all when fewer than four cars are for sale.

Where the retention figure comes from: a term-by-term forecast for this model, built from how the nameplate resells in Canada and its brand record in the published retained-value awards — Canadian Black Book Best Retained Value and J.D. Power / ALG Canada. Confidence on this one is low. Where no model-specific forecast exists we fall back to the contract buyout percentage, which shows zero equity rather than a guess.

Resale prices move with the used-car market, condition and options. Treat this as a well-informed estimate, not a guarantee.

Handing the keys back

How easy Lucid makes it to walk away at the end of the lease. 5 means relaxed, 1 means every scuff gets billed.

2.8/ 5Strict
Damage forgiven at return1.0 / 5 · 35% of the score

Nothing written off

Scratches, curbed wheels and small dents are the most common surprise bill. Brands that forgive a dollar amount absorb most of it for you.

Charge per extra kilometre2.0 / 5 · 30% of the score

25¢ per km over your allowance

Driving 5,000 km over on a four-year lease costs about $1,250 at this rate.

Buying kilometres upfront4.5 / 5 · 15% of the score

12¢ upfront vs 25¢ after the fact

A real discount for buying kilometres in advance gives you a cheap way out if you know you drive a lot.

Fee just for handing it back1.6 / 5 · 20% of the score

$595 return fee

This is charged even on a spotless car, though most brands waive it if you lease from them again.

Adding those four up gives 1.9. We then adjust by +0.9 for how this brand actually behaves at return time — how picky the inspection is and how often bills get waived — which lands on 2.8.

Thin used market; strict damage billing.

No established loyalty program.

Estimated for Ontario

13% HST
Sales tax on your payments (13% HST)
$11,692
Licence plate & registrationPlate transfer or new issue
$59
Tire stewardship levyCharged on the four tires
$20
Dealer documentation feeTypical Ontario dealer admin fee
$599
One-time costs at delivery
$756
Federal luxury tax (over $100,000)
$480
Cash needed on delivery day
$1,236
All-in cost over the whole term
$102,863
True cost per month after equity
$2,218
Province details — how these numbers were worked out

Sales tax rate: 13.00% (13% HST)

Your payment before tax is $1,874 a month. Tax of 13.00% adds $244 a month, which is $11,692 across 48 months. In Canada lease tax is charged on each payment, not on the full price of the car, so a bigger down payment or trade-in also lowers the tax you pay.

One-time costs at delivery: $756

  • Licence plate & registration: $59Plate transfer or new issue
  • Tire stewardship levy: $20Charged on the four tires
  • Dealer documentation fee: $599Typical Ontario dealer admin fee (sales tax applies, so 13.00% is added)
Government registration and levies are shown at their posted amount; the dealer documentation fee is taxable, so tax is added to it.

Federal luxury tax: $480

Canada charges a luxury tax on vehicles over $100,000, anywhere in the country. The bill is the lesser of 10% of the full price or 20% of the amount above $100,000, so this figure uses whichever is smaller.

Cash on delivery day: $1,236

Down payment with tax, plus the one-time costs and any luxury tax, minus any rebate.

All-in cost: $102,863

All 48 payments including tax, plus your down payment, one-time costs and luxury tax, minus any rebate. Subtracting what you get back at lease end (-$3,596 of equity) and adding any over-kilometre bill ($0) gives the true cost of $2,218 a month.

Fees and rebates are current best estimates for Ontario and can change; confirm the exact amounts with your dealer before you sign.

No provincial purchase rebate is currently offered here.

LengthKm / yearBuyout %Factory rateTypical quoteMonthly (tax in)
24 months16,00049.0%6.4%8.2%$3,100
24 months20,00047.0%6.4%8.2%$3,187
24 months24,00045.0%6.4%8.2%$3,273
36 months16,00043.0%6.4%8.2%$2,426
36 months20,00041.0%6.4%8.2%$2,481
36 months24,00039.0%6.4%8.2%$2,536
48 months16,00037.0%6.4%8.2%$2,078
48 months20,00035.0%6.4%8.2%$2,117
48 months24,00033.0%6.4%8.2%$2,157
60 months16,00030.0%6.4%8.2%$1,875
60 months20,00028.0%6.4%8.2%$1,904
60 months24,00026.0%6.4%8.2%$1,934
72 months16,00023.5%6.7%8.6%$1,751
72 months20,00021.5%6.7%8.6%$1,774
72 months24,00019.5%6.7%8.6%$1,797
84 months16,00017.0%7.1%9.1%$1,660
84 months20,00015.0%7.1%9.1%$1,678
84 months24,00013.0%7.1%9.1%$1,697
96 months16,00010.5%7.4%9.5%$1,589
96 months20,00010.0%7.4%9.5%$1,593
96 months24,00010.0%7.4%9.5%$1,593

For your research, not a quote. Every figure here is an independent estimate built from published manufacturer programs, provincial tax rules and retained-value award data. We are not a dealer, lender or broker, we are not paid to steer you toward any vehicle or brand, and nothing on this site is financial, tax or legal advice. Confirm the final numbers on your own lease worksheet before you sign. Full terms and disclaimer